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Variability in gas mileage

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  • Variability in gas mileage

    This is what I do in my spare time, lol....... I made this a few years ago when I was driving my 2005 Echo Hatchback

    MPG =
    378 - 0.000033 Aggressive cubed + 0.00430 Aggressive squared
    - 0.158 Aggressive % - 0.000401 A/C squared
    + 1.39 Cutting engine at lights - 0.000882 city X aggressive
    - 0.647 Fills since oil change + 0.0372 fills since oil change squared
    - 0.000063 pounds of gas cubed + 0.0335 pounds of gas squared
    - 5.85 pounds of gas on average

    I have the variables:
    % Aggressive driving in a given tank(then squared and cubed of variable)
    % A/C use in a given tank (then squared too)
    Tanks of gas that I turned off the car at lights
    # of fills since last oil change (average fill is 400 miles)
    pounds of gas in my tank on average in a given tank (squared and cubed)

    I also have a X product in there as well (city X aggressive) which takes my %city driving and multiplies the % of time in that same tank that I drove aggressively.

    I had 23 data points (23 fills over the course of the past few months).
    This regression model gives a R-squared value of 92.9%. (which means that 92.9% of the variability in my gas mileage is accounted for in this equation.)

    Oh and the reason I added the pounds of gas in the tank is due to the debate over whether getting gas too often (aka when you still have half a tank) will hinder your mileage. And it does indeed seem to.

    (All percentage values were multiplied by 100)

    As for aggressive driving, I defined it as the percent of the miles driven that I
    a) would speed (to a maximum of 10 mph above the limit)
    b) purposely accelerate and brake needlessly (aka in the city in between lights)
    c) drive in a lower gear (aka higher revs for same speed)
    And this percentage may be off by 5% or so either way, but as per the large "n" normality in the data's variation would indeed even out.,

  • #2
    I should run it again using only linear regression, as this is easier for most to understand, lol......

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    • #3
      Haha does no one care at all about this?

      Are there no other stats nuts like myself?:cry_smile:

      Comment


      • #4
        I can't say it I 100% understand it. It is cool to see. Wish I could give input & perspective!

        Mike
        Mike Holmgren
        Thief Rvr Fls, MN
        1989 Festiva L, carb. 4 spd.
        "If at first you don't succeede, get a bigger hammer. If it breaks it needed to be replaced anyway."

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        • #5
          Mind:blown
          Buck.
          -1993 Ford Festiva GL, ~200k, B6, Aspire rear, Rio front, 5-speed. '87 Prelude alloys. Happy to be back on the route!!!
          -1999 Toyota Sienna XLE, 346,000
          -1996 Chevrolet K1500 Z71, 350 V8, 198k, hauler

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          • #6
            No data on the boatail/camback and taping of the wheel wells?
            '93 Blue 5spd 230K(down for clutch and overall maintanence)
            '93 White B6 swap thanks to Skeeters Keeper
            '92 Aqua parts Car
            '93 Turquoise 5spd 137K
            '90 White LX Thanks to FB71

            "Your God of repentance will not save you.
            Your holy ghost will not save you.
            Your God plutonium will not save you.
            In fact...
            ...You will not be saved!"

            Prince of Darkness -1987

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            • #7
              ^ that was for his Echo.
              Trees aren't kind to me...

              currently: 2 88Ls (Scrappy and Jersey), 88LX, 90L(Pepe), 91L, 91GL (Skippy) 93 GL Sport (the Mighty Favakk), 94 (Bruce) & 95 Aspire SEs, 97 Aspire (The Joker),
              94 Justy 4WD, 87 Fiero GT, plus 2 parts cars. That's my fleet.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by FestYboy View Post
                ^ that was for his Echo.
                Poop, you are right!
                I knew the Festiva was sold just thought he was reanalyzing the data.
                Now that think about it, he did do the same analysis for his festiva data.
                '93 Blue 5spd 230K(down for clutch and overall maintanence)
                '93 White B6 swap thanks to Skeeters Keeper
                '92 Aqua parts Car
                '93 Turquoise 5spd 137K
                '90 White LX Thanks to FB71

                "Your God of repentance will not save you.
                Your holy ghost will not save you.
                Your God plutonium will not save you.
                In fact...
                ...You will not be saved!"

                Prince of Darkness -1987

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Pu241 View Post
                  Poop, you are right!
                  I knew the Festiva was sold just thought he was reanalyzing the data.
                  Now that think about it, he did do the same analysis for his festiva data.
                  I didnt do as deep of analysis for my Festiva data, as I was more interested in the aero-mods.

                  The regression model above basically tells you to what extent each of the variables effects your mpg, and in what relationship (linear, cubic, etc).

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Pu241 View Post
                    No data on the boatail/camback and taping of the wheel wells?
                    If I still had the Festiva, I would have enough data now to come to a better conclusion. Even still though, I saw about a 1.5mpg increase!

                    Comment

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